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Thread: War With Iran: An Oncoming Catastrophe?

  1. #21
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    Lightbulb

    Great site;

    http://lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/

    Get your 40 acres and a mule:eek:
    http://northwestfront.org/

    ......naturally the best man could give them the best children. Because of that these chosen Freyr priests had several wives. - Varg Vikernes

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    That scenario is all too realistic, and prophetic! I have recently begun to take a very nilhiistic view towards the future of the United States, and in that i mean that, in order to implement real change....not the rhetorical kind spouted by automoton politicians , but the true "from the ground up" kind of rebuilding that this nation / world needs...we have to first let the whole system collapse, and cave in on itself! Believe me....the scenario painted by the total collapse of our world is one of sheer horror, with frankly all that we have ever known being destroyed in a short amount of time. I certainly don't wish pain & suffering on any of my friends and family, or the good people on this forum, or in our cause, but in all honesty......it is something we have no control over , yet...... we can certainly prepare for the coming collapse, and be far away from the mess when humanity starts tearing itself apart.

    History has shown us again and agin that the only time a new era of real change begins is after humanity has lost everything! The comfort, complacency, and idealism of the current masses will never allow a full paradigm shift in thinking and application towards a complete reversal of rampant decadence.....because they love the "status quo", and the "status quo" means safety, and... the "status quo" is nothing more than a pacifier jammed in the mouth of an idle society. What truly has to occur is nothing short of total collapse of what we currently know as the "Global Superstate", and with it the sick and disgusting disease of modern liberal democracy, and after the dust has settled, and people re-learn how to provide for themselves and their families......the natural boundries of family, race, community, klan, tribe, etc will form......thus reshaping humanity into what nature had planned for us all along........autonomous, tribal communities based on hierarchy, community, ethnic plurality, and most of all survival!
    Bah! Enough of the squalor of democratic humanity. It is time to begin to recognise the aristocracy of the sun. The children of the sun shall be lords on the earth.
    -D.H. Lawrence

  3. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by DreamWalker View Post
    Great site;

    http://lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/

    Get your 40 acres and a mule:eek:
    I hope no one posting here is entitled to 40 Acres And A Mule :o :p

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    Quote Originally Posted by DreamWalker View Post
    Great site;

    http://lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/

    Get your 40 acres and a mule:eek:
    I don't think this article is very sensible at all. The term bell curve is usually associated with a static model of normal distribution rather than a dynamic model of magnitude. For oil consumption to follow the path this article alleges, there would have to be an intricately planned method of weaning society off of oil until it eventually ran out, which is a far cry from what our current leadership has achieved.

  5. #25
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    Get Ready for the Oil-Price Drop

    http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=9450

    The price of crude oil has jumped as high as $135 lately, up from $87 in early February. The news encouraged some Wall Street analysts to suggest oil might approach $200 before long. In fact, that's quite impossible: The world economy can't handle current energy prices, much less a big increase.

    Which in turn means that oil prices will fall.

    Market analysts often claim oil prices are almost entirely determined by supply. Demand is said to be insensitive ("inelastic") to price. The standard example is that many Americans have to drive to work and most gas-guzzling SUVs will still be on the road even if the affluent few can trade theirs for a Prius. Whatever the price, we'll pay it.

    This idea rests on two fallacies. The first is to exaggerate the United States' importance when it comes to ups and downs in worldwide oil demand. In fact, America is using no more oil than we did in 2004.

    The second fallacy is to greatly exaggerate the importance of passenger cars in the United States. It's true that Americans are driving less and buying four-cylinder cars - but that's not where we should be looking for serious "demand destruction."

    Two-thirds of petroleum in the United States is used for transportation - but half of the transportation sector's fuel flows into commercial trucks, trains, buses, airplanes and ships. As a result, only 44 percent of each barrel of oil is used to produce gasoline in this country, and some of that gasoline fuels business - delivery vans, landscapers' trucks, fishing boats, industrial and farm machinery, etc.

    Most crude oil is used to produce diesel fuel for trucks, ships and trains, heavy fuel oil for industry, aviation fuel, asphalt, home heating oil, propane, wax, and innumerable petrochemical products ranging from detergents and drugs to synthetic fabrics and plastic.

    In short, a huge share of crude oil is used to produce and distribute industrial products. That explains why the price of oil is extremely cyclical - that is, it tends to rise during economic booms and fall during contractions. It dropped 44 percent in the last recession (from November 2000 to November 2001), 48 percent from October 1990 to January 1992 - and 71 percent from July 1980 to July 1986.

    Oil prices have a huge impact on producers' cost of production - profits and losses - not just on consumers' cost of living.

    Firms that can't raise prices will find profit margins squeezed - and will have to cut back on production and jobs. Even if some producers of energy-intensive products can raise prices enough to cover higher energy costs, they'll nonetheless sell fewer of their products because of those higher prices. So they too will have to cut back on production and jobs.

    Nine out of 10 previous postwar recessions began shortly after a big spike in the price of oil. Yet those recessions always slashed oil prices dramatically. People who have been predicting both a nasty US recession and $200 oil prices are contradicting themselves.

    Recent news reports have expressed surprise that the US economy appears much stronger than the famously gloomy predictions at the start of the year. Indeed, the surprising endurance of US manufacturing and exports is one reason oil prices rose as long as they did.

    But note that a US recession isn't required to bring down the price of oil. All that's needed is industrial stagnation or decline in many other countries.
    In the United States and Britain, industrial production is nearly flat - only 0.2 percent higher than it was a year ago. In many other countries, however, industrial production has dropped over the past 12 months. It's down by 0.7 percent in Japan, 1.1 percent in Austria, 2.5 percent in Italy and Denmark, 2.9 percent in Canada, 5.4 percent in Greece, 5.7 percent in Singapore and 13.3 percent in Spain.

    In April, industrial production also fell in India and China. Shrinking industry around the world shrinks demand for energy in general - and for oil in particular.

    When the price of anything gets unbearably high, it discourages demand. The resulting drop in sales, in turn, causes inventories to pile up and the price to come down. That has proven true of overpriced houses - and it will likewise prove true of overpriced oil.

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    That still means our economic growth is constrained to some extent by the availability of oil, which means we need to seek out other sources of energy such as nuclear
    Contact Congress on immigration
    Contact Congress to reject banker bailout
    "Those who would give up Essential Liberty to purchase a little Temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety." --Ben Franklin

  7. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by SwordOfTheVistula View Post
    That still means our economic growth is constrained to some extent by the availability of oil, which means we need to seek out other sources of energy such as nuclear
    Yes, at some point nuclear, in some form, will be the only solution to the pending energy crisis, especially if coal-fired power stations are closed down.

    However in the short term the use of electric vehicles could imo, get most people through this particular the oil crisis, which is an early warning of what the the energy crisis might be like.




    Performance

    The RAV4EV has a governed top speed of 78 miles per hour (126 km/h), a tested 0-60 time of around 18 seconds (depending on state-of-charge on the batteries) and a range of 80 to 120 miles (130 to 190 km). Mileage depends on the same factors as a traditional gasoline-powered vehicle, mainly rolling resistance and average speed (aerodynamic drag).

    The RAV4EV has 24 12-volt 95Ah NiMH batteries [could be swapped out for newer Lithium-Ion batteries-thg] capable of storing 27.4kWh of energy.

    Charging

    The RAV4EV's batteries can be recharged from being fully depleted to fully charged in about 5 hours. Charging is supplied via magnetic induction by a wall-mounted 6000-Watt charging unit on a 220 volt, 30 amp, North American "clothes dryer"-type plug.

    Mileage Costs

    As of May, 2006, charging an RAV4EV from full-dead to full-charge, at a rate of US$0.09 per kilowatt-hour, costs around $2.70. As of May, 2008, based on a gasoline price-per-gallon cost of US$3.80 and up. and the non-EV 2003 RAV4 2-wheel-drive gasoline fuel efficiency of 27 mpg, the RAV4EV costs approximately 25% as much to fully charge, and makes mileage in the RAV4EV the cost equivalent to a 111.1-mile-per-gallon small SUV (2.12 L/100 km).

    In addition, the RAV4EV has a charge timer built into the dashboard that enables the vehicle to start charging at a specific time. As the RAV4EV easily becomes the main cost of electricity in an average-sized home, this enables the owner to use a Time-Of-Day Meter to reduce electricity costs. This configuration is a standard practice with RAV4EV owners. The price of electricity at night depends on the carrier, but is usually in the range of 60% of the normal rate. In the use of charging the RAV4EV, this equates to a cheaper cost-per-mile, roughly equivalent to a vehicle capable of 166.6 mpg (miles-per-gallon) (1.41 L/100 km), based on a price of US$3.00 per gallon.

    The Vehicle cost $29,000 before it was discontinued a couple of years ago.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toyota_RAV4_EV

  8. #28
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    Netanyahu's blubbering about Tehran's nuclear deal was so pathetic and I actually preferred Tel Aviv sweating. The problem with that is just the Koran in control, the same as Pakistan, since imams send the two Aryan countries pointing guns in the wrong direction otherwise. It's crazy how Riyadh sides with the Zionists despite how the Palestinians are treated.

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