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Thread: UK Population Could Soar to 90 Million

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    UK Population Could Soar to 90 Million

    Does sound incredible but --

    UK population could soar to 90m (Telegraph 25/11/2007)


    The population of the United Kingdom could soar to 90 million by the middle of the century, government statisticians will say this week. Such an increase, driven by immigration and a rising birthrate, would add 50 per cent to today's population.eyes:

    It would be the equivalent of building a new city the size of Sheffield every year and would put extreme pressure on housing, transport and public services. The Tories will seize on the forecast, due to be unveiled on Tuesday, to press their case for a cap on immigration from outside the European Union. Ministers will say the projection underlines the need for curbs that are already planned, including a new points-based system for screening migrant workers.

    Earlier this month, the Government Actuary's Department (GAD) published data - first revealed in The Sunday Telegraph - showing how the population is likely to grow over coming decades. Its central forecast, known as the "principal projection", was that the number of residents would rise to 71.1 million by 2031 and 78.6 million by 2056.

    This week, the GAD will release "variant projections", including high and low figures, showing the range of possible outcomes if three key factors - net migration, birthrate and average lifespan - turn out higher or lower than anticipated. Statisticians, using calculations based on data already disclosed by the GAD, have been able to determine in advance the figures likely to be released on Tuesday. In 2031, the GAD is expected to say, the UK population will be between 66 and 75 million. In 2056, it will be between 66 and 90 million.

    Damian Green, the Conservative immigration spokesman, said: "All projections are uncertain, but the higher levels of these projections are truly alarming. "It is clear that we would find it hugely difficult to cope with population growth at this rate. This shows why action to slow the growth of population is urgently required." The GAD's forecasts are used in Whitehall to plan public spending, but its previous projections have proved far too low. Its previous estimates two years ago suggested the population in 2056 would be only 69.6 million, with a "high projection" of 82.6 million.

    The rising of forecasts reflects the surge in immigration in the past two years, in particular from Poland and other new EU states in eastern Europe. Official statisticians now expect net immigration to run at 190,000 a year for years to come. A baby boom among immigrant women has forced the GAD to raise its birthrate estimates. Women are now expected to have, on average, 1.84 babies each over a lifetime. The average for British-born women is 1.6 and for foreign-born women 2.2. The highest birthrate in the UK is among Pakistani-born women, who have an average of 4.7 children each. Last year, 22 per cent of births in the UK were to foreign-born women.

    The Office for National Statistics, which releases the information on behalf of the GAD, confirmed that the calculation system would be the same as that used for the last set of forecasts two years ago. The wide gap between high and low projections illustrates the difficulty statisticians face in making accurate predictions on population growth. A Home Office spokesman said: "We are committed to controlling migration in Britain's national interest. Our new points-based system will ensure that only those that Britain needs can come here to work and study. We have more staff working at our borders than ever before, and through the biometrics programme we are securing the UK's borders even further."


    Migration pinch at British schools ( see below )

    Britain's schools are being pushed to breaking point by the rising tide of immigrant pupils, according to the National Association of Headteachers. It said that many schools could not cope with the influx, which threatens to change the culture of some schools. Since the EU expanded in 2004, about 170,000 children from Poland, 30,400 from Lithuania, 28,700 from Slovakia and 12,900 from the Czech Republic have joined classes in British schools.

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    SWAMPED AND DROWNING . A DIFFERENT COUNTRY........ . Is this what people will be voting for .....are they really that crazy ....:eyes::

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    Senior Member Carl's Avatar
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    Schools struggle with foreign children influx

    An influx of migrant children is changing the culture of schools and pushing some to 'breaking point', the National Association of Head Teachers (NAHT) will claim this week. Some schools do not have the resources to cope with scores of school-age children arriving in the UK from eastern Europe with a poor grasp of the English language and customs, a Government inquiry will be told.

    The warning follows the publication of figures from the Government Actuary's Department which suggest that increased levels of immigration and an increasing birthrate could result in the population of the UK rising to about 90?million by the middle of the century. While head teachers emphasised that immigrant children should be welcomed into schools, the NAHT claims many head teachers are concerned they do not have the money to cope with such large numbers.

    Mick Brookes, the general secretary of the NAHT, who will this week present evidence to a Parliamentary inquiry on the subject, said: "The impact on schools where there is a large number of foreign pupils coming in can be quite dramatic … on their capacity to manage those pupils but also it creates problems when they may have a minority language that is not widely spoken." Mr Brookes said the problem is exacerbated in rural areas, such as Lincolnshire, where foreign workers are filling a void in the agricultural industry. He called for an emergency fund to be set up which schools can draw on when they receive foreign pupils.

    Mr Brookes said: "It is important all children are welcomed into schools and that they feel part of the community. We need to make sure the schools can give the pupils the support they need.However, he added: "For some schools, the resources they need to deal with it are coming to an end and they are reaching breaking point." Mr Brookes also called for Criminal Records Bureau checks on support staff to be fast-tracked to enable assistants who speak minority languages to enter schools and support pupils for whom English is not their first language. "We welcome these children and their parents, but the schools need to be given the capacity to cope."

    Figures compiled by the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR), a think-tank, show that about 240,000 under-19s have moved to Britain from Poland, the Czech Republic, Lithuania and Slovakia in recent years. Danny Sriskandarajah, of the IPPR, said the issue is about funding in schools and the allocation of resources rather than the numbers of migrants entering Britain. He added that it was time for the Government to reassess the provision of English language teaching to migrant pupils.

    A spokesman for the Department for Children, Schools and Families said funding is allocated based on pupil numbers and that extra funding is made available for foreign pupils through special grants: "Local authorities receive funding through the Ethnic Minority Achievement Grant to provide support for minority ethnic pupils and pupils with English as an additional language. The grant is £179 million in 2007-08 and will increase to £207 million in 2010-11."

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    Again we have this curious situation where it seems alright to be attacking European Immigration --- but it wasn't quite so prominent when they we 'British' AfroAsians..........

    We all need to keep aware of the numbers... Further immigration should be mostly blocked . But we need more than that ........
    .

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    Study: UK population could hit 108m

    Tuesday, 27 November 2007, 16:29 GMT

    ( watch a bit later -- they may go up again...! )


    The UK population could almost double by the end of the century, according to Government projections. The figures from the Government Actuary's Department (GAD) suggest that with high immigration and fertility rates, the population could reach 108,723,000 by 2081. In October, the Office for National Statistics published figures estimating the population would rise to around 85 million over the same period, but the new figures model the possible high and low extremes of growth.

    GAD, a special unit which analyses how demographic changes could affect Government spending, came up with a range of population projections based on variations in life expectancy, fertility rates and immigration.If all these factors were high in the coming years, the population could reach 91 million by the middle of the century and 110 million by 2081. At the other end of the scale, if the same factors were low, the population could rise by as little as four million to stand at 64 million by 2081.

    David Davis, the shadow home secretary, said: "This confirms what we have been telling the Government - that Britain's population is set to grow rapidly. Labour need to wake up and understand the factors driving population change as well as the solutions. Only the Conservatives would take steps to reduce immigration to levels that are suitable and sustainable for the UK." The ONS figures published last month represent the principal projection - the scenario the office thinks is most likely. GAD's report suggests that the net rise in the UK population due to migration could rise to 230,000 a year in the next decade, though the ONS's principal projection gives a figure of under 175,000 a year.

    [B]Sir Andrew Green, from Migrationwatch UK, said: "These projections are a sharp reminder of what could happen to our population, indeed to our country, if the Government fails to take firm and effective action very soon to bring a halt to mass immigration."[/B

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    ---- or is it already TOO LATE !!!

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    Yes, it's too late. England is dead and any decent people left (i.e., those not chasing money) should make plans to leave.

    Western society is a victim of it's own success, and it's inevitable that the home of the global language - English - will become a magnet for migrants from poor countries.

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    Quote Originally Posted by OneEnglishNorman View Post
    Yes, it's too late. England is dead and any decent people left (i.e., those not chasing money) should make plans to leave.

    Western society is a victim of it's own success, and it's inevitable that the home of the global language - English - will become a magnet for migrants from poor countries.
    Do I detect a note of defeatism? It's the English mindset to stay and fight; the nation has faced worse prospects of invasion before, and always emerges victorious. It's a different type of battle, yes, but the outcome will be no different.

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