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Thread: Demographic Trends: World Population to Hit 9 Billion in 2050

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    Post World population will stabilize at 9 billion, UN says

    Sanguine, to say the least...


    http://www.cbc.ca/story/world/nation...on_041105.html

    NEW YORK - The world's population will stabilize in 300 years to about nine billion people, with an average life expectancy of 95 years, the United Nations predicts.

    In Japan, where people already tend to live longest, the average person will hang on to 106 in 2300, says a UN report released Thursday.

    The report departs from dire predictions in recent years that the world's population could reach 12 billion by 2300.

    The average woman will have two children in coming years, raising the world population to 9 billion in 2300 from its 6.4 billion now, the UN's Population Division said.

    Long-term estimates of population growth dropped because of declining fertility rates.

    The report also forecasts that India will pass China to become the world's most populous country.

    It will be followed by China and the United States, and Africa will have twice as many people – about 25 per cent of the global total.

    The average age is expected to jump to 50 years from 26.

    Its authors report warn that the slightest changes in their model, such as a tiny drop in fertility rates, could dramatically alter the results.

    The report says that if women kept having as many children as they do currently, the global population would skyrocket to 1.34 trillion in 2300, a completely unsustainable level.

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    Senior Member Ederico's Avatar
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    Post Re: World population will stabilize at 9 billion, UN says

    9 Billion: A total stressing of our social and natural environment. A planet that is severly overcrowded needs a severe depopulation policy in my opinion. Currently, and most importantly in the future, if extreme measures such as sterilisations of those seriously genetically defective, severe criminals, and those that voluntarily select to be sterilised, are not at least considered for introduction we will face a global over-population that could result in global misery for all. Whether it is a contradiction of basic human rights it is not questionable, the crux of the question is that we need population decrease and not growth.

    Unfortunately those stimulating global population growth are generally the burgeoning and ignorant billions of the Third World who produce humans through quantitative aspects rather than qualitative ones. Unfortunately the West is blinded by the Egalitarian dogma where each individual is equal to the other. I will quote Friedrich Wilhelm Nietzsche on the question: "All men are not equal; thus speaks justice" - Change justice to nature and you have a winner.

    The current plight of the Third World can be partially linked to their extreme and reckless fecundity which is overpopulating Third World areas and the whole globe (not to mention Europe through mass immigration).

    An ideal world population should figure at around 3 billion I believe, possibly less.

  3. #13
    Perun
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    Dr. Brandt already posted this I believe

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    Quote Originally Posted by Perun
    Dr. Brandt already posted this I believe
    Oops sorry

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    HIEL
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    This is my solution to the third world problem. http://www.forums.skadi.net/showthread.php?t=4896

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    Thumbs Down A Brown Planet: World Population to Hit 9 Billion in 2050

    White Women (& Men): Get those fertility pills popping and have yourselves lots of little soldiers, or abandon your families to the dreadful fate of being squashed, mangled and suffocated by the imminent brown tsunami as forecast here below...


    UN: World Population to Hit 9B in 2050

    UNITED NATIONS - The world's population will increase by 40 percent to 9.1 billion in 2050, but virtually all the growth will be in the developing world, especially in the 50 poorest countries, the U.N. Population Division said.

    In a report Thursday, the division said the population in less developed countries is expected to swell from 5.3 billion today to 7.8 billion in 2050. By contrast, the population of richer developed countries will remain mostly unchanged, at 1.2 billion.

    "It is going to be a strain on the world," said Hania Zlotnik, the division's new director. She said the expected growth will be concentrated in countries that already struggle to provide adequate shelter, health care and education.

    The report reconfirmed many trends, including an increasingly aging population in developed countries. But it said immigration would prevent the overall population in richer countries from declining.

    The United States is projected to be the major net recipient of international migrants, 1.1 million annually, with its population increasing from 298 million in 2005 to 394 million in 2050, the report said.

    Between 2005 and 2050, population growth in eight countries — India, Pakistan, Nigeria, Congo, Bangladesh, Uganda, the United States, Ethiopia and China — is likely to make up half the world's increase, the report said.

    Median fertility is expected to decline from 2.6 children per woman today to slightly over 2 children per woman in 2050. Zlotnik said India's population will surpass China's in the coming decades because its fertility, currently at 3 children per woman, is higher than China's, estimated at 1.7 children per woman.

    In 2000-2005, fertility levels remained above 5 children per woman in 35 of the 148 developing countries, including 30 of the poorest nations. The pace of decline in several countries in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia was slower than anticipated.

    In southern Africa, the region with the highest AIDS prevalence, life expectancy has fallen from 62 years in 1995 to 48 years in 2000-2005, and is projected to decrease further to 43 years over the next decade before a slow recovery starts, it said.

    Thoraya Obaid, executive director of the U.N. Population Fund, said the new projections should spur more action to stop the spread of HIV/AIDS and help couples freely determine the size of their families. "We must take more urgent action to promote access to reproductive health, including family planning, and fight HIV/AIDS to save millions of lives from AIDS and maternal death, as well as to reduce poverty in developing countries," she said in a statement.

    In 2002 the Population Division had estimated global population in 2050 of 8.9 billion.

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    Senior Member Sigel's Avatar
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    Post Re: A Mud-Brown Planet Earth

    There's no Third World. No, not anymore. That's only a phrase you coined to keep us in our place. There's one world, only one, and its going to be flooded with life, submerged. This country of mine is a roaring river. A river of sperm. Now, all of a sudden, it's shifting course, my friend, and heading west...
    Jean Raspail's 'Camp of the Saints' is coming to pass.
    http://www.africa2000.com/XNDX/xraspail.htm

    Disturbing.
    A people which takes no pride in the noble achievements of remote ancestors
    will never achieve anything worthy to be remembered with pride by remote descendents.

    Lord Macauley

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    Account Inactive Huzar's Avatar
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    Post Re: A Mud-Brown Planet Earth

    Don't be too pessimist Thiudans. I understand what you feel reading those data, but don't desperate too much. I can give you some help to interpretate these informations and some precisations (i'm a political science student and this is my sector). Yes the general situation is not good at all, at first impression, although, if we do a deep analisys, the scenario is , yes very dangerous, but not completely desperate ; there are many data from many different sources and some observations can be a little different from one side to the other. Besides, remember that the major part of PROJECTIONS, are based on ACTUAL trends, but NOTHING tell us that actual standards will remain the same FOREVER; example : the country "X" has today a fertility rate of 4, then continuing on this trend for 50 years, entire population will have a demographic increase of over 200%. O.K., but What say to us, that the rate of 4 will remain unchanged for 50 years ? Of course nobody can foretelling the future, but the most general logic dynamic of demography says NO. At the begin of the last demographic boom of western world (1950-1960) fertility rate was 3.2 for european women and 3.5 for american white women. If a similar trend would has manteined itself until now, we were the double than we actually are (Germany, probably, over 100 ml. instead 80, Italy and France almost 80 ml. instead 60 ml. and so the others). Although, reality it's another thing : those good trend didn't preserve forever. In a laps of time of 30 years they pulled down to actual miserable standards (........... ). Now, i think several non white world's areas to be reconductable to this dynamic; I'll illustre situations with reference to potential involvment of white nations:
    *NOTE = in all data i'll cite only the FERTILITY RATE (number of sons per woman) whom constitutes, the "REAL GROWTH" in technic academic terms. while i don't tell the annual percentage of increase (effective percentual growth) whom is defined "NOMINAL GROWTH" in technic academic terms. This, cause i believe the last definition(nominal growth) the hearth of a bad EQUIVOKATION; Theorically, a nation could have a notable "nominal growth", without a proportional "real growth". EXAMPLE : the nation "y" has an annual percentual increase of 1,5%(it's rather high), but if you see the fertility "real growth" that is 2.0 (2.1 is th "line" of replecement. Going under this line means a sure decrease on the long term), we understand that the situation is not so good. The high annual percentage (1,5%) reported, is caused by the PREVIOUS generations, NOT by the ACTUAL number of births, therefore is only "nominal"; sure, it cause an effective increasing, but it's only a transitory phenomenon : a sort of demographic "inertia effect". A nation with a similar situation will have only a "pseudo-encrease " doomed to finish rapidly. The biggest mistake of many statistics, is to considerate only the "nominal growth". This is only an HALF of truth.


    CENTRAL AMERICA : the situation of the most populated nation ( MEXICO) is stabilized substantially; official data of 2004 and estimations of 2005 report a fertility rate of 2.42 sons per woman ("0" replecement rate is 2.1). It means that Mexico "real" growth is finished. other countries under Mexico, like guatemala etc. are not very significant numerically anyway (although they're on the same trend). In carebbean isles the situation is even better : Cuba has the same growth of a european nation (1.9 rate) and Dominican republic goes to the same. Jamaica is insignificant, and PuertoRico will have a small increase(2000= 3,5 ml./ 2050= 4 ml.). The only demographic danger could be Haiti (90% blacks-10% mulattos)whom has a persistent 4 rate (for now, at least).


    SOUTH AMERICA : Brazil with its big population (180 ml. 2005) is at the and of run ; 1.95 rate (i repeat, "0" growth rate is 2.1) and this involve even blacks mestizos and mulattos. Venezuela and Colombia the same : respectively 2.5- 2.6 rate. The rest of continent is not too important or goes on the same or(better) is white (Argentina, Uruguay, Chile), so i doesn't rapresent a danger theorically.
    NOTE* the major danger for, northamerica, could be the "combination" of all these fluxes.


    ASIA : Nort-west = very similar to european countries ; China (1.6 rate, equal to France) Japan (1.3, lesser than the mean western rate/ 2000= 130ml. 2050= less than 100ml.). Korea similar to china trend. (depopulation of Japan will cause a strong flux of immigration from south east, deviating partially it from usual north american target.
    South East : Vietnam after decades of under development has a very moderate rate (2.2 rate) Indonesia, the most populed state of this area (2005 220 ml. has a "0" rate (2.1). Here the only demographic bomb are Philippines.

    Indian sub continent : here there is a real battle against unproportionate growth : actual fertility is 2.9 but is persistent and it's difficult to pull down(although consider it was 6.5, 40 years ago). The same about confinant countries like Pakistan and Bangladesh.

    MIDDLE EAST : here the things must be cleared abut many cases; Turkey it's not true that there is a demographic bomb in this country. Absolutely. Many statistics emphatize this fact but the real data are these : fertility 1.98 (pulling down) probable REAL population in the future 2005 = 70 ml. 2050 = 80-85 ml.(at MAX) . NOT the 100 ml. and over, someone claims...Therefore there will be an objective increase, yes , but not dramatic (strictly demographically).
    Iran : 20 years ago at the age of revolution the rate was 6-7. Now is 2.1 ("0") The biggest broblem is arabic peninsula : Saudi Arabia, Irak, Syria etc.(the pure ARABIC strain culture, [**even before the Islam religion itself**], is against any form of demographic control).

    AFRICA .........
    The situation is known very well by all the presents. Although we must do some distinctions : north africa (or white africa, like some say) has , today a much lower increase than sub saharan africa. North west africa has the lowest rate ( Algeria 2.5, Morocco 2.5, Tunisia 2.0 ) while Egypt has 3.0.(but decreasing)

    Black africa is the REAL HELL = actual mean rate for all subsaharan zone is 5.0 about. The data, instead, don't count AIDS effect, DETERMINANT in many areas. HIV is the strongest obstacle to AFRICA growth (africans refute any sex/demographic control) . The legacy will cause millions of death especially among women and children (demographic centre) determinating new unknowns cenarios.



    It's all for now. I apologize with all, especially with anglophones, for my english It's the longest coverage i've posted on skadi............

  9. #19
    Nordic Dream Maiden
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    Post Re: A Mud-Brown Planet Earth

    White Women (& Men): Get those fertility pills popping and have yourselves lots of little soldiers, or abandon your families to the dreadful fate of being squashed, mangled and suffocated by the imminent brown tsunami as forecast here below...
    I can give you an easy answer as I got from my daughter who's in her mid twenties w/ a diploma who just almost pulled down 100 grand in her first year in sales. She was raised a Racialist and wasn't one bit ashamed of it. She was very well known in the "White Power music" scene and was a girlfriend to one of the Bound for Glory band member here in the Twin Cities. She wants kids but cannot find a real man. And when I mean man its defined as her staying home and reproducing in a regular middle class home and neighborhood, and not in a trailer park with some guy floating from job to job because he proclaims his Racialism in front of swine and gets fired for that or his attitude does him in; an educated and smart racialist who knows what to say in whatever environment who can legally carry a 44magnum. She just cannot find that Racialist man, sure plenty of male CyberRacialists exist and can type anything sweet to the eye--but procreation exists on the physical reality plane and not the cyberplane or Skadi's adult forum.
    She has known many real white Racialists, but as she has noticed, the older they get the more "goyim" and neo-connish they get. It's almost like the two liberals who live beside me, both very white, with a 4th coming white child are doing more for whites than Racialists and these people always vote democrat and would attend a "lib" march in a heartbeat. If staying quiet for some of us to create more babies for our preservation has to be, let it be and realize your work for the jews is for your kind to survive.

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    Senior Member helsingor's Avatar
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    Post Re: A Mud-Brown Planet Earth

    Are these people self sufficient in their food production? If not, the Western world should stop sending any and this will be a self correcting problem.

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