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Thread: Human Extinction Within 100 Years, Warns Scientist

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    Member Triglav's Avatar
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    Human Extinction Within 100 Years, Warns Scientist

    Human extinction within 100 years warns scientist
    17 November 2004
    By JOHN HENZELL


    A top New Zealand researcher is using a prestigious award ceremony in Christchurch to warn that humans face extinction by the end of the century.

    Professor Peter Barrett will be presented with the Marsden Medal tonight for his 40-year contribution to Antarctic research, latterly focusing on climate change.

    The director of Victoria University's Antarctic Research Centre expects to use his acceptance speech to warn climate change was a major threat to the planet.

    "After 40 years, I'm part of a huge community of scientists who have become alarmed with our discovery, that we know from our knowledge of the ancient past, that if we continue our present growth path, we are facing extinction," Barrett said. "Not in millions of years, or even millennia, but by the end of this century."

    Barrett won the award – designed to mark lifetime achievement in the sciences – for his research into Antarctica, which began with helping prove New Zealand was once part of the Gondwanaland supercontinent.

    He then changed disciplines, to predicting the impact of climate change. The result was a body of research on Antarctic ice sheets "which to our surprise is becoming increasingly relevant to the world as a consequence of global warming".

    Barrett's warning underlines comments he made last year that even the Kyoto Protocol on global warming would not be enough to avert a climate disaster. The United States and Australia have refused to adopt Kyoto protocol measures.

    "Research on the past Antarctic climate has an ominous warning for the future ..." he said.

    "We need an international commitment to an effective solution, if we are to survive the worst consequences of this grandest of all human experiments."

    http://www.stuff.co.nz/stuff/0,2106,3099128a10,00.html

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    The same is happening in the Northern hemisphere....


    Study: Arctic warming at twice the global rate

    Species, including polar bears, may go extinct as ice melts

    Monday, November 8, 2004 Posted: 3:29 PM EST (2029 GMT)

    OSLO, Norway (Reuters) -- Global warming is heating the Arctic almost twice as fast as the rest of the planet in a thaw that threatens millions of livelihoods and could wipe out polar bears by 2100, an eight-nation report said on Monday.


    The biggest survey to date of the Arctic climate, by 250 scientists, said the accelerating melt could be a foretaste of wider disruptions from a build-up of human emissions of heat-trapping gases in Earth's atmosphere.

    The "Arctic climate is now warming rapidly and much larger changes are projected," according to the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA), funded by the United States, Canada, Russia, Denmark, Iceland, Sweden, Norway and Finland.

    Arctic temperatures are rising at almost twice the global average and could leap 4-7 Celsius (7-13 Fahrenheit) by 2100, roughly twice the global average projected by U.N. reports. Siberia and Alaska have already warmed by 2-3 C since the 1950s.

    Possible benefits like more productive fisheries, easier access to oil and gas deposits or trans-Arctic shipping routes would be outweighed by threats to indigenous peoples and the habitats of animals and plants.

    Sea ice around the North Pole, for instance, could almost disappear in summer by the end of the century. The extent of the ice has shrunk by 15 percent to 20 percent in the past 30 years.

    "Polar bears are unlikely to survive as a species if there is an almost complete loss of summer sea-ice cover," the report said. On land, creatures like lemmings, caribou, reindeer and snowy owls are being squeezed north into a narrower range.

    Fossil fuels blamed

    The report mainly blames the melt on gases from fossil fuels burned in cars, factories and power plants. The Arctic warms faster than the global average because dark ground and water, once exposed, traps more heat than reflective snow and ice.

    Klaus Toepfer, head of the U.N. Environment Programme, said the Arctic changes were an early warning. "What happens there is of concern for everyone because Arctic warming and its consequences have worldwide implications," he said.

    And the melting of glaciers is expected to raise world sea levels by about 10 cm (4 inches) by the end of the century.

    Many of the four million people in the Arctic are suffering. Buildings from Russia to Canada have collapsed because of subsidence linked to thawing permafrost that also destabilises oil pipelines, roads and airports.

    Indigenous hunters are falling through thinning ice and say that prey from seals to whales is harder to find. Rising levels of ultra-violet radiation may cause cancers.

    Changes under way in the Arctic "present serious challenges to human health and food security, and possibly even (to) the survival of some cultures," the report says.

    Farming could benefit in some areas, while more productive forests are moving north on to former tundra. "There are not just negative consequences, there will be new opportunities too," said Paal Prestrud, vice-chair of ACIA.

    Scientists will meet in Iceland this week to discuss the report. Foreign ministers from Arctic nations are due to meet in Iceland on November 24, but diplomats say they are deeply split with Washington least willing to make drastic action.

    President George W. Bush pulled the United States, the world's top polluter, out of the 126-nation Kyoto protocol in 2001, arguing its curbs on greenhouse gas emissions were too costly and unfairly excluded developing nations.

    "Kyoto is only a first step," said Norwegian Environment Minister Knut Hareide, a strong backer of Kyoto. "The clear message from this report is that Kyoto is not enough. We must reduce emissions much more in coming decades."


    [Source]

    .

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    Post Re: Human extinction within 100 years warns scientist

    The same is happening in the Northern hemisphere....




    Study: Arctic warming at twice the global rate

    Species, including polar bears, may go extinct as ice melts

    Monday, November 8, 2004 Posted: 3:29 PM EST (2029 GMT)

    OSLO, Norway (Reuters) -- Global warming is heating the Arctic almost twice as fast as the rest of the planet in a thaw that threatens millions of livelihoods and could wipe out polar bears by 2100, an eight-nation report said on Monday.


    The biggest survey to date of the Arctic climate, by 250 scientists, said the accelerating melt could be a foretaste of wider disruptions from a build-up of human emissions of heat-trapping gases in Earth's atmosphere.

    The "Arctic climate is now warming rapidly and much larger changes are projected," according to the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA), funded by the United States, Canada, Russia, Denmark, Iceland, Sweden, Norway and Finland.

    Arctic temperatures are rising at almost twice the global average and could leap 4-7 Celsius (7-13 Fahrenheit) by 2100, roughly twice the global average projected by U.N. reports. Siberia and Alaska have already warmed by 2-3 C since the 1950s.

    Possible benefits like more productive fisheries, easier access to oil and gas deposits or trans-Arctic shipping routes would be outweighed by threats to indigenous peoples and the habitats of animals and plants.

    Sea ice around the North Pole, for instance, could almost disappear in summer by the end of the century. The extent of the ice has shrunk by 15 percent to 20 percent in the past 30 years.

    "Polar bears are unlikely to survive as a species if there is an almost complete loss of summer sea-ice cover," the report said. On land, creatures like lemmings, caribou, reindeer and snowy owls are being squeezed north into a narrower range.

    Fossil fuels blamed

    The report mainly blames the melt on gases from fossil fuels burned in cars, factories and power plants. The Arctic warms faster than the global average because dark ground and water, once exposed, traps more heat than reflective snow and ice.

    Klaus Toepfer, head of the U.N. Environment Programme, said the Arctic changes were an early warning. "What happens there is of concern for everyone because Arctic warming and its consequences have worldwide implications," he said.

    And the melting of glaciers is expected to raise world sea levels by about 10 cm (4 inches) by the end of the century.

    Many of the four million people in the Arctic are suffering. Buildings from Russia to Canada have collapsed because of subsidence linked to thawing permafrost that also destabilises oil pipelines, roads and airports.

    Indigenous hunters are falling through thinning ice and say that prey from seals to whales is harder to find. Rising levels of ultra-violet radiation may cause cancers.

    Changes under way in the Arctic "present serious challenges to human health and food security, and possibly even (to) the survival of some cultures," the report says.

    Farming could benefit in some areas, while more productive forests are moving north on to former tundra. "There are not just negative consequences, there will be new opportunities too," said Paal Prestrud, vice-chair of ACIA.

    Scientists will meet in Iceland this week to discuss the report. Foreign ministers from Arctic nations are due to meet in Iceland on November 24, but diplomats say they are deeply split with Washington least willing to make drastic action.

    President George W. Bush pulled the United States, the world's top polluter, out of the 126-nation Kyoto protocol in 2001, arguing its curbs on greenhouse gas emissions were too costly and unfairly excluded developing nations.

    "Kyoto is only a first step," said Norwegian Environment Minister Knut Hareide, a strong backer of Kyoto. "The clear message from this report is that Kyoto is not enough. We must reduce emissions much more in coming decades."


    [Source]

    .

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    Post Re: Human extinction within 100 years warns scientist

    I think you're both misunderprocrastinating the situation. It's not happening.:eyes


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    Post Re: Human extinction within 100 years warns scientist

    Quote Originally Posted by Awar
    I think you're both misunderprocrastinating the situation. It's not happening.:eyes

    It is happening, but it's natural.

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    Post AW: Re: Human extinction within 100 years warns scientist

    Quote Originally Posted by Johnny Reb
    It is happening, but it's natural.
    How so? The pace of these changes is unparalleled by any similar change in the environment in the past.
    "slavic" languages are absolutely arteficial (Read "slawenlegende"). The "glagolica", invented by a bunch of monks, is nothing but an ancient esperanto, creating new words, definitions and alphabet out of regional slangs.

    The craddle of European Civilization comes from the North. All blond people originate from the north. So if you see a blond-blue eyed Slovene, Russian, Czech, Polak ect., you can be 100% sure that his ancient ancestors originated from "Germanics" (Germanic = Nordic).
    "slovenja" was the settelment of the Langobards = Germanics/Teutons. "Poland" of the Goths and East-Vandals ect. ect. What do "slavs" tell us about their origin?
    Some silly story that they originate from some swamps in the east and popped out of no where into history.

    So you see my dear "Gorostan" [=Triglav], you are in reality a "Germanic" indoctrinated with panslav propaganda and historic fantasy stories. ~Dr. Brandt, former TNP and Skadi member

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    Post Re: Human extinction within 100 years warns scientist

    With all these natural disasters and plagues such as the HIV Aids virus claiming 40 million lives, there is always one protocol that stands true: The strong will survive and the weak will perish.

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    Post Re: Human extinction within 100 years warns scientist

    Also,according to scientists,humans faced extinction 70,000 years ago as well and only the strong survived,right Grimr?



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    Post Re: Human extinction within 100 years warns scientist

    Quote Originally Posted by Vojvoda
    Also,according to scientists,humans faced extinction 70,000 years ago as well and only the strong survived,right Grimr?
    I don't know exactly how strong you would need to be to survive that, relatively cognitive I would think… however such things as the forth coming Aids virus and the mass growth of populace in LEDC countries then yes, only the truly strong will survive.

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    Post Re: AW: Re: Human extinction within 100 years warns scientist

    Quote Originally Posted by Triglav
    How so? The pace of these changes is unparalleled by any similar change in the environment in the past.
    What, 2 degrees in a century? I doubt that. Also, the warming levels don't exactly parallel the levels of pollution/industrialization.

    Quote Originally Posted by Grimr
    With all these natural disasters and plagues such as the HIV Aids virus claiming 40 million lives, there is always one protocol that stands true: The strong will survive and the weak will perish.
    Actually, like the Spanish Influenza pandemic in the early 20th century, the proposed next one will mainly kill those in their prime, using their healthy immune systems against them.

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