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Thread: Every Farmer in the World Will Be Affected by Climate Change

  1. #1
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    Every Farmer in the World Will Be Affected by Climate Change

    The driest 10-month period on record for Texas has devastated the state and its crops. The National Weather Service warned Monday:
    THERE IS LITTLE TO SUGGEST ANY END TO THE DROUGHT
    Every state along with much of Asia has been hit by record temperatures this summer. And thanks in large part to extreme weather around the globe, food prices are stuck at record levels, causing hardship for tens of millions:

    Dr. Andrew Dessler, a professor of atmospheric sciences at Texas A&M University, emailed TP Green, that while Gov. Perry may deny climate science:
    There are dozens of credible atmospheric scientists in Texas at institutions like Rice, UT, and Texas A&M, and I can confidently say that none agree with Gov. Perrys views on the science of climate change. This is a particularly unfortunate situation given the hellish drought that Texas is now experiencing, and which climate change is almost certainly making worse.
    Global warming is certainly making the drought hotter, which creates a vicious cycle, since the higher temps dry out the earth, but the drier it gets, the hotter its gets, as the NWS explains below.
    Yet, the dots arent being connected for the public by and large. In Coverage of Extreme Weather, Media Downplay Climate Change as a Fairness & Accuracy In Reporting analysis recently concluded.
    Indeed, I just saw NBC Evening News tonight, which explained that we are seeing record food prices and that extreme weather is a major contributor, but had no mention whatsoever of climate change.
    The dividing line between good climate reporting and bad climate reporting is almost always whether the reporter talked to real climate scientists. Typically, the more a reporter talks to, the better the story.
    Thats a key reason why ABC News has been one of the few major media outlets to explain the connection between extreme weather and global warming (see links below). And they did so last night. Indeed, they went beyond the connection between global warming and extreme weather to the key climate impact on crops and food prices:

    [IMG]http://c.gigcount.com/wildfire/IMP/CXNID=2000002.0NXC/bT*xJmx*PTEzMTM1MjYyNjIxMjImcHQ9MTMxMzUz Njc4MDM2OCZwPTEyNTg*MTEmZD1BQkNOZXdzX1NG UF9Mb2NrZV9FbWJlZF8x/NDMxMjQ*NV9FeHRyZW1lU3VtbWVyV2VhdGhlciZn PTImbz1mMzg2MDQ3ZTNmMTc*NTRjODAyYjU1ZjU5 NzllZWE*ZCZvZj*w.gif[/IMG]
    Great quote by climatologist Heidi Cullen, When you crank up the heat, when you globally warm the planet, youre going to see more extreme events.
    Governor Rick Perry, who failed to stop the drought with his prayer proclamation, yesterday dismissed any worries about the impact of the drought on Texas, saying well be fine. As my dad says, itll rain. It always does. He is not only unaware of the recent climate studies warning of permanent drought in the region (see literature here), but also the stunning warning from National Weather Service that there is no end in sight to the drought:
    OCTOBER 2010 TO JULY 2011 WAS THE DRIEST OF ANY 10-MONTH PERIOD ON
    RECORD FOR TEXAS.
    (THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS JUNE 1917 TO MARCH 1918.)
    THE STATEWIDE EXTENT OF EXTREME (D3) AND EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT (D4) IS
    CURRENTLY AT ALL-TIME RECORD LEVELSTHE STATEWIDE PRECIPITATION
    TOTALS THIS GROWING SEASON ARE LESS THAN ANY DURING THE MULTI-YEAR
    DROUGHT OF THE 1950S.
    THE PARCHED EARTH HAS ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO SOARRESULTING IN
    ONE OF THE HOTTEST SUMMERS ON RECORD. JUNE AND JULY WERE BOTH THE
    WARMEST ON RECORD FOR THE STATE. WACO RECORDED ITS LONGEST EVER
    STREAK OF CONSECUTIVE TRIPLE-DIGIT HIGHSAND DALLAS/FORT WORTH IS
    ON PACE TO ECLIPSE THE HOTTEST SUMMER ON RECORD1980.
    ALL OF NORTH TEXAS IS NOW IN AT LEAST SEVERE DROUGHT (D2)WITH THE
    VAST MAJORITY OF THE REGION IN EXTREME OR EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT. WATER
    RESOURCES HAVE DECREASED DRAMATICALLY THIS SUMMERAND CROP LOSSES
    WILL LIKELY SET RECORD DOLLAR AMOUNTS.
    THE HEAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE REMAINDER OF THE SUMMERWITH
    THE DROUGHT CONTINUING UNABATED WELL INTO THE UPCOMING AUTUMN. WITH
    THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER DRY LA NINA WINTERTHERE IS LITTLE TO
    SUGGEST ANY END TO THE DROUGHT.
    The NWS spells out the grim impacts on agriculture:
    PASTURE AND RANGELAND CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE ACROSS THE
    STATE WITH 94 PERCENT NOW RATED AS POOR OR VERY POOR. HAY
    SUPPLEMENTATION IS WIDESPREAD WITH NEARLY ALL HAY IMPORTED FROM
    OTHER STATES. IN ADDITION TO ADEQUATE FORAGE CATTLE REQUIRE
    SEVERAL GALLONS OF DRINKING WATER A DAY. NOT SURPRISINGLYHERDS
    CONTINUE TO BE CULLEDWITH SOME RANCHERS REPORTING COMPLETE
    LIQUIDATION. SOME CATTLE HAVE BEEN RELOCATED TO GREENER PASTURES AS
    FAR AWAY AS WYOMING.
    WARM SEASON CROPS CONTINUE TO SUFFER. STATEWIDEONLY 8 PERCENT OF
    CORN IS IN GOOD CONDITION. IN THE IMPORTANT CORN-GROWING REGION OF
    CENTRAL TEXASMOST CORN HAS FAILED. IN ADDITIONMOST OF THE
    COTTON PLANTED IN TEXAS THIS YEAR HAS BEEN ABANDONEDAN ESTIMATED
    LOSS IN EXCESS OF 2 BILLION DOLLARS. DROUGHT-TOLERANT SORGHUM WAS
    MOSTLY IN FAIR CONDITION OR BETTER. FARMERS CONTINUE TO REPORT CROP
    DAMAGE FROM FERAL HOGS AND OTHER ANIMALS. IN SEARCH OF WATER
    ANIMALS AND INSECTS ARE INCREASINGLY ENCROACHING ON URBAN AREAS AND
    IRRIGATED LAND. STATEWIDE AGRICULTURAL LOSSES THIS YEAR MAY BE
    DOUBLE THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 4.1 BILLION DOLLARS IN 2006.
    The NWS isnt in the business of making the connection to global warming, but it noted that the devastating heat dome that often afflicts Texas, TYPICALLY TAKES UP RESIDENCE ABOVE THE LONE STAR STATE AROUND THE SUMMER SOLSTICEBUT THIS SUMMERIT ARRIVED A FEW WEEKS EARLIER THAN NORMAL.
    Get used to that, Texas. After reading my post, U.S. Sees Most Extreme July Climate, Oklahoma Sees Hottest Average Temperature of Any State on Record, Dr. Katharine Hayhoe, director of the Texas Tech University Climate Science Center, emailed me :
    In reference to your post on the hottest July this summer is very similar to what is projected under a +2C global mean temperature increase. We typically average 9 days per year > 100F in Lubbock; this year we are at 43 and counting. My map of days > 100F for +2C GMT is attached.

    Days above 100F for warming of +2C, which half the projected warming this century on our current emissions path.
    In short, they aint seen nothing yet.
    Source http://thinkprogress.org/romm/2011/0...limate-change/

  2. #2
    Senior Member velvet's Avatar
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    Global warming is certainly making the drought hotter, which creates a vicious cycle, since the higher temps dry out the earth, but the drier it gets, the hotter its gets
    And it's not only temperature that generates more problems. I cant even count anymore how often I've heard this year of half American states burning. When the forests are gone, the earth, and specially its fertile layer, will be carried away with the next big rain, or with sand storms like that one that swallowed Phoenix some weeks ago. From the trippled hurricane occurences I wont even start.

    And when the fertile layer is gone, the microclimate is broken too. The dryer the ground is, the less clouds will be there to bring rain, so once this process is started of areas drying out, it's almost impossible to reverse it.
    Ein Leben ist nichts, deine Sprosse sind alles
    Aller Sturm nimmt nichts, weil dein Wurzelgriff zu stark ist
    und endet meine Frist, weiss ich dass du noch da bist
    Gefrchtet von der Zeit, mein Baum, mein Stamm in Ewigkeit

    my signature

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    The current drought conditions are caused by "La Nia", part of the regular weather cycle. There were more extreme drought conditions in the 1930s, with even more spectacular dust storms. Extreme weather is not unusual for the US with its continental weather climate, as opposed to the Temperate Maritime or Mediterranean that is the norm in Western & Southern Europe.

    The climatic variations of the last couple of decades are likely the result of solar warming, no amount of international laws will have any effect on the weather. If we are entering a centuries long new weather pattern then is nothing to do but adapt.

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    Senior Member Uwe Jens Lornsen's Avatar
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    Dust Bowl

    I read about the Dust Bowl in the USA of the 1930s on Wikipedia :
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dust_Bowl

    Interesting claim there , that the Dust Bowl created the political environment
    of "socializing" farming by governmental interference.
    At the end of the drought, the programs which were implemented during these tough times
    helped to sustain a positive relationship between America's farmers and the federal government.
    Franklyn D. Roosevelt came to power the same year as Adolf Hitler with
    apparently simmilar economic problems.
    Mk 10:18 What do you call me a good master, no-one is good .

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    Senior Member Theunissen's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Uwe Jens Lornsen View Post
    I read about the Dust Bowl in the USA of the 1930s on Wikipedia :
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dust_Bowl

    Interesting claim there , that the Dust Bowl created the political environment
    of "socializing" farming by governmental interference.

    Franklyn D. Roosevelt came to power the same year as Adolf Hitler with
    apparently simmilar economic problems.
    Same year, but the problems were only slightly similar. The difference was that Adolf Hitler's economic programs were quite successful, while FDR's "New Deal" was a flop, one of the reasons FDR was prone on war to still earn some fame as President. He didn't survive Hitler, though.

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