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Thread: Visions of Europe in 2030: A Postmodern Middle Ages

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    Visions of Europe in 2030: A Postmodern Middle Ages

    In the future, globalization will further weaken the nation-state. A long transition process toward global government will be, like the Middle Ages, a time of great insecurity. But Europe's governance structure will prevail, even in the United States. It will buy its way to peace and its model will be copied across the globe.

    Europe invented, named, and shaped all eras of history -- and will continue to do so in the future. The classical world is defined by the flourishing of Greece; the Middle Ages followed the sacking of Rome; the European Renaissance led to the formation of nation states that organized the world in their image; and in the 21st century, Europe is pioneering the post-nation state regionalism and corresponding postmodern governance that is also being adopted around the world. Already we can see hints of the world going Europe's way. Just consider the ongoing global financial crisis: ever more observers foresee the need for a balance between American capitalism and inflexible, overly managed statism. The right mix is European-style, social democratic capitalism.

    First let us take a step back and see how the global landscape has already come to resemble a crucial period of European history, namely the Middle Ages. It was a long and uncertain period, and thus an ideal metaphor for our times. It was an age of plagues and progress, commercial revolutions, expanding empires, crusades, city-states, merchants, and universities. The new middle ages -- synonymous with our postmodern globalization age -- have already begun.

    Particularly the city-state, the most prominent medieval political unit, will continue its resurrection. Today's list of "global cities" -- New York, Los Angeles, Miami, Sao Paulo, London, Dubai, Singapore, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Tokyo -- will also include Alexandria, Karachi, Istanbul, and others. Then as now, city-states are commercial hubs all but divorced from their national anchor, reminding that corporate actors will be paramount well into the future. Today's sovereign wealth funds, fused with city-state savvy, will be tomorrow's Hanseatic League, forming capital networks that radiate the newest technologies to those in their proximity. Hamburg and Dubai have just signed an agreement to boost bilateral trade and technical cooperation. City-states will pay for their protection as global security privatizes further into corporate hands, the knights, mercenaries, and condottieri of the 21st century.

    The Middle Ages witnessed innovations from the cannon to the compass, all geared toward enhanced global exploration. So too will the speed of communication and transport bring us ever closer toward simultaneity. As the ranks of billionaires soars beyond Gates, Branson, and Ambani, mega-philanthropists will become the postmodern Medicis, financing explorations in outer space and the deep sea, governing territory and production like medieval princes.

    The new Middle Ages will be as much multipolar with expanding empires on the Eurasian landmass as apolar with no single global leader. Charlemagne's efforts to resurrect the Holy Roman Empire have been succeeded over a millennium later by the multi-pronged armadas of Brussels Eurocrats steadily colonizing the Baltics, Balkans, and eventually Anatolia and the Caucasus. Their book is not the Bible but the "acquis communautaire," the 35 chapters of Lex Europea rebuilding European Union member states from the inside out.

    Not only Ukraine and Turkey, but with any luck even depopulated, cantankerous Russia will be an EU member by 2030. Having already become one of Europe's main energy arteries, Turkey will also take on the role as a major trade and investment corridor to Central Asia and the Near East. The road networks linking Anatolia to the Caspian Sea will have been extended southward toward Syria, Iran, and Iraq as well, providing direct access to Mideast energy and export routes for high-end European products.

    The Middle East will be integral to Europe's expanded sphere of influence in 2030. Though the Arab world will be more populous than Europe, its energy supply will be dwindling and its trade relationships ever more tied to European investment for large-scale production of manufactured goods from automobiles to solar-cells. Islam will remain a fractured faith, widely practiced, but also subdued by the impetus of economic development. Just as Europe bought off communism, it will purchase the reform of Islamism toward constructive, prosperous social democracy. North African Arab states will be ever more bound to Europe through natural gas pipelines, outsourced small-scale production, and agriculture. Sarkozy's present vision of a Mediterranean Union will indeed have blossomed into a resurrection of the Roman Empire -- with Brussels as its capital.

    But this Europe of 2030 will not only be externally integrating its neighbors, but internally blending with them as well. The robust Ukrainian and Turkish populations will be ever more part of the European economic and social fabric, maintaining the empire's status as a manufacturing juggernaut. Arab migrants will remain a feature of Western European societies, but like the Turks of the late 20th century, become constructive diasporas advancing progressive social and micro-economic models through a free flow of capital and ideas with the West.
    Continued:
    http://www.spiegel.de/international/...637830,00.html

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    This makes no sense. The Roman empire united the world under its one world government and when it collapsed we had the middle ages. The middle ages was a time of decentralized power and local warlords competing for soil. Not to mention maruaders, vikings, lawlessness. It wasn't a time of 1984 style one world government or 'regionalism' as the article suggest. Now I could believe that perhaps after all this stuff collapses we might have a second middle ages. Though the dark ages were also influenced heavily by plagues, sever weather (crop shortages) and Christianity (negative influence). I doubt we will see such a volatile mix again.

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    That's more a liberal dillusion than vision. Writing about Europe 21 years from today is worthless.

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    Well 1984 style globalism’s are difficult to set up and keep going, for very long. That does not mean that they will not try, but it will be limited by resources. Rome is a perfect example of what happens after the collapse of resources. I can see some level of decentralization coming down simply because technology will make it passable.

    But this should be take with some apprehension by White Europeans. Germanic's only arose in the vacuum of power created by the collapse of Rome, other wise they would have not have developed the advanced culture they did. Also they benefited from the technology of the Roman Empire to some degree, by inheritance.

    If such a thing does indeed happen they Arabs may end up superseding the White culture as they grew in number and inherit the technology and resources developed by white Europeans. If the Arabs follow the same path as the Vikings did following the collapse of Rome.

    This could be the death nail for White culture, if we don’t figure out how to recover from the “Global Melting Pot” that we have, thanks to the Global Left.

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    Quote Originally Posted by EQ Fighter View Post
    Well 1984 style globalism’s are difficult to set up and keep going, for very long. That does not mean that they will not try, but it will be limited by resources. Rome is a perfect example of what happens after the collapse of resources. I can see some level of decentralization coming down simply because technology will make it passable.

    But this should be take with some apprehension by White Europeans. Germanic's only arose in the vacuum of power created by the collapse of Rome, other wise they would have not have developed the advanced culture they did. Also they benefited from the technology of the Roman Empire to some degree, by inheritance.

    If such a thing does indeed happen they Arabs may end up superseding the White culture as they grew in number and inherit the technology and resources developed by white Europeans. If the Arabs follow the same path as the Vikings did following the collapse of Rome.

    This could be the death nail for White culture, if we don’t figure out how to recover from the “Global Melting Pot” that we have, thanks to the Global Left.
    I do not think they will inherit anything in the long term. Look at previous European regions and compare them to what they are with other races. Turkey, for example, cannot compare to the Greek and Anatolian nations. And as many Arabs have Negro blood, simply look to South Africa or many parts of America.

    So basically I am saying our achievements will rot and they will never reach the level we did, despite anything that happens.

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    Well in the US, as far as inheriting I would say that I see many Mexicans taking over the Jobs that were formerly held by whites, Using the schools that were set up by Whites. So I can conceive that they are basically adapting what they can get their hands on, for their culture not the White Americans. It seems also possible if Muslims exceed the population of Germanics, in Europe they will do the same.

    I'm not saying they will be on the same level of advancement, but just that they might inherit the leftovers, and you will have an Islamitised culture.

    Yes some of it will Rot, and fall into disuse.

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