View Full Version : The Jews' Declining Population - Contrary to the Zionist Dream

Monday, May 8th, 2006, 01:07 PM

Date: Mon, 8 May 2006 00:47:54 -0500

One of the less obvious under currents of world politics is the effect
that demographic trends have on geo-politics. For example, the current
Northern Ireland peace process was in large part motivated by the fact
that the Catholic population of Northern Ireland rose from 36% in 1971
to 44% in 2001.

A second example is the former Soviet Union. A year before the collapse
of the Soviet Union, the Muslim population reached over 50 million. And
with the Muslim population growing twice as fast as the Russian, there
was a real chance that by 2025, over fifty percent of the conscripts
joining the Red Army would have been Muslims. Given the reluctance of
Muslims in the Red Army to fight in Afghanistan during the Soviet
occupation in the 19080’s, it was not surprising that Russian
nationalists happily watched six Muslim Central Asian Republics break
away in 1991.

In the on going brutal Israeli occupation of Palestine, one of the less
publicized problems facing Israel is that the demographics of the
Jewish population are going horribly wrong for the dream of Zionism for the
last 6 years.
Israel has always relied on large influxes of Jewish people from around the world
to boost its population in relation to the Palestinians.

The best decade for Zionism was the 1990s, when following the
collapse of the Soviet Union 1 million people migrated to Israel. Since
2001, however, large numbers of Israelis started emigrating to Russia,
Germany and the USA. The Israeli government is reluctant to show any
figures on emigration, but in 2004, the Bureau of Statistics in Israel
showed that for the first time in Israel's history, there was a net
loss of people through migration of over 11,000 people. The CIA
estimates that 2005-6 will be zero addition to the Jewish population
through migration.

The Palestinian population on the other hand is rising at around twice
the rate of the Jewish, despite Israel's attempts to make life under
occupation as intolerable as possible. 2004 was a critical year in the
population balance as, according to a U.S. government report, the
population of Palestinians living in Israel, the Gaza Strip, Occupied
East Jerusalem and rest of the Occupied West Bank combined exceeded the
number of Israeli Jews at the end of that year. The Palestinian
population stood at over 5.3 million while the Jewish population was

Theses figures came from the U.S. State Department's annual
Country Reports on Human Rights Practices. The report finally showed
the explosive new demographic reality that an Israeli Jewish minority now
rules over a larger number of Palestinians living between the
Mediterranean Sea and the Jordan River.

The CIA estimated the Palestinian population of the West Bank was
1,443,790 in July 1994 and 1,556,000 in July 1998. It totaled 2,164,000
in July 2002, and had increased by 50 percent since 1994. It still had
an extraordinarily high growth rate of 3.39%, and it was very young,
with around 44% of the population aged 14 years or younger. The
Palestinian population in the Gaza was 731,000 in July 1994, and
1,054,000 in July 1998. It totaled 1,225,911 in July 2002, and had
increased by 68 percent since 1994. The population growth rate was
3.95%, one of the highest in the world, and 50% of the population was
14 years of age or younger.

That Palestinian population will increase according to UN estimates to
4,498,000 in 2010, 5,250,000 in 2015, 6,891,000 in 2025, and 11,055 in
2050. The World Bank estimates that the Palestinian population of both
the West Bank and Gaza will increase from 3.1 million in 2001 to at
least 4.8 million in 2015 an increase of 55%; even if the current
rate of Palestinian emigration continues, birth rates drop sharply in
the near future, and no Palestinians refugees return. The survey
estimated that Jews would account for 6.4 million (44.4 percent) of the
population by 2020, against 8.2 million Palestinians.

Israeli demographers have long warned that Palestinians would once
again become a sizeable majority in all of historic Palestine by around 2010.
Israel would then be viewed by almost all the world as an apartheid
state where an empowered minority rules over an effectively disenfranchised majority.
It is against this background that Ariel Sharon's decision to pull the Israeli colonies out of Gaza was born.
For those even slightly familiar with Sharon's track record (Sabra
and Shatila refugee camps) no-one (apart from George W. Bush) could have
described him as a "man of peace" but were still puzzled by his
insistence to pull all Jewish colonies out of Gaza.
From Sharon's perspective, the motivation for the decision to leave Gaza is not peace,
but rather trying to keep Israel a Jewish state.
Sharon described the pull out from Gaza as "vital" for the survival of the Jewish state.
Few commentators analyzed this statement but it was the trend in
population figures which is the key to understanding this comment.

The next challenge for the new Israeli Prime Minister is the declared
aim of the unilateral imposition of Israel's "permanent" boundaries.
This will undoubtedly try to include large chunks of the
West Bank and the whole of East Jerusalem, following the line of the
current illegal wall. [What Israel intends to do with the Muslim
population of the areas on the "wrong side" of the wall can only be
described as Balkan style ethnic cleansing. The forcible removal of the
Muslim Arab population from areas controlled by Israel is an idea which
has been publicly and widely discussed in Israel as the "final
solution"; language reminiscent of the Nazis. Even the pro-Israeli
New York Times recently warned that "Demographically speaking, if
Israel does not relinquish the West Bank and Gaza, the Palestinians will soon
outnumber the Jews and Israel will become either an apartheid state or
a non-Jewish state."

Even more worrying for Israel is the future time bomb of the
Palestinian refugees forced into exile abroad by Israeli terror and wars.
Although no accurate figures are available,
the UN estimates that they are not less than 5 million Palestinians abroad
and the figure could be closer to 6 million.
The Israeli adamant refusal to accept their right to return even to the areas
nominally controlled by the Palestinian Authority led to Yasser Arafat's refusal to sign the U.S. sponsored peace plan drawn up by the former American President Bill Clinton.
As the Palestinians already have a slight numerical advantage in
Palestine, the arrival of potentially another 5 million Palestinians;
many of whom are still living in refugee camps in Lebanon, Syria and Jordan, would
tip the demographic balance decisively in the Palestinians favour
permanently. The Palestinian refugee population is one of the largest
in the world and one of the longest suffering with some living in refugee
camps for over 50 years.

In practical terms, Israel has only three choices in the future in
dealing with the growing Palestinian population:

1. Offer all Palestinians living in Gaza, the West Bank and East
Jerusalem full Israeli citizenship which would effectively mean the
end of Israel as a "Jewish" state. The democratically elected Hamas
government has said it would be prepared to accept this principle.

2. Withdraw to the pre-1967 borders, which would allow for the possible
establishment of a Palestinian state. This would mean the evacuation of
the whole of the West Bank and East Jerusalem and hope the long
suffering Palestinians would be prepared to accept this solution and
not re-open the 1948 UN Partition Plan; which however unfair, provided for
even more Palestinian territory.

3. Try and impose a unilateral settlement by withdrawing behind a huge
(and illegal) wall which stretches deep into Palestinian land (which
would be illegal under international law), leaving behind a damaged
Palestinian economy and infrastructure, with the West Bank carved up to
the extent that a future Palestinian state would be unviable. This
unilateral solution would also include the annexation of East Jerusalem
and not permitting the return of any Palestinian refugees or any
meaningful sovereignty.

There will also be a concerted attempt to encourage or forcibly remove
the Muslim populations from areas controlled by Israel.

There is little doubt which of these three plans Israel is working
towards but the third option would not solve the security issue for
Israel as the Palestinians and the United Nations would simply not
accept such an unfair solution. Instead it would only mark another
unilateral Israeli withdrawal from territory without guaranteeing any
peace or security for Israel; Lebanon and Gaza being other examples.
The weight and speed of the growth of the Palestinian population will force
the world to realize that Israel's claims to be a democracy look ever
more threadbare and comparisons with South Africa's Apartheid regime
look even more obvious.

A Jewish Israeli minority cannot dominate the greater number of
Palestinians between the Mediterranean and the Jordan while still
retaining its claim to being the only democracy in the Middle
East and with the population trend going inexorably against the Zionist
dream, Israel will soon have to face reality.

Source: The Egyptian Chronicles
I don't have the direct link, I got this in my mail ;)

Monday, May 8th, 2006, 01:16 PM
I'm scared by the thought of the percentance of Muslim population in Greece after 20-30 years.